After starting at a blistering pace, Lee Johnson’s men hit a bit of a rough patch in recent weeks, but the Black Cats are hanging in near the top of the table and currently sit third, with 13 wins, three draws, and five defeats from their opening 21 matches.
That run of form has left them with 42 points – two adrift of Rotherham United at the summit.
But can they hope to continue their promotion-chasing form over the course of the remainder of the season?
FiveThirtyEight have meticulously simulated the last 25 games of the campaign to predict how League One' s final standings will look by the time May comes around.
But where will Sunderland finish when all is said and done?
We’ve gathered all of the details you need to know, including the percentage probability of them being promoted. Check out our countdown from 24th to first below…
But can they hope to continue their promotion-chasing form over the course of the remainder of the season?