Intriguing xG table reveals where Sunderland, Portsmouth, Ipswich, Rotherham, Sheffield Wednesday and Wigan should be
Alex Neil’s side currently sit just outside the playoff places - but is this a fair reflection on how their season has panned out so far?
According to a definition provided by fbref, ‘xG (Expected Goals) is the probability that a shot will result in a goal based on the characteristics of that shot and the events leading up to it.’
By using an xG model, we can compare how teams have fared this season against what would normally have been expected of them.
So how have Sunderland fared this campaign? Is their current position of 7th in the league a fair reflection of their season? Or should they be higher or lower based on xG?
And what about their nearest promotion rivals? Have any side around them over or under performed this season?
Here, using data provided by FootballXG, we take a look at how the current League One table would according to their xG model: