Results from around the division last weekend mean that the race for a play-off place is more hotly-contested than ever with Alex Neil’s side firmly placed in the middle of the pack.
Most sides, Sunderland included, have just seven games left of the season to deliver on their pre-season aspirations and grab themselves a shot at promotion this campaign.
But with tricky games against Oxford United, Plymouth Argyle and Rotherham United to come, it will be a season-defining few weeks on Wearside.
So what do the ‘data experts’ make of the Black Cats’ chances of promotion to the Championship this season?
Here, using data provided by FiveThirtyEight, we take a look at their latest prediction of how the 2021/22 League One table will finish and whether or not Sunderland are being predicted playoff success at the end of the campaign:
A message from the Football Clubs Editor
Our aim is to provide you with the best, most up-to-date and most informative Sunderland AFC coverage 365 days a year.
This depth of coverage costs, so to help us maintain the high-quality reporting that you are used to, please consider taking out a subscription to our new sports-only package here.
Your support is much appreciated. Richard Mennear, Football Clubs Editor
. Alex Neil talking to his players. Safc 1-2 Mkdfc Elf1. Stadium Of Light. 19-02-2022. Picture by FRANK REID
What are the 'data experts' predicting for Alex Neil's side this season? (Picture by FRANK REID) Photo: Frank Reid
. 24th: Crewe Alexandra
Forecasted finish: 24th - Predicted points: 31 (-47 GD) - Chances of relegation: >99% Photo: James Chance
. 23rd: Doncaster Rovers
Forecasted finish: 23rd - Predicted points: 35 (-52 GD) - Chances of relegation: 99% Photo: Julian Finney
. 22nd: Morecambe
Forecasted finish: 22nd - Predicted points: 37 (-40 GD) - Chances of relegation: 90% Photo: Alex Davidson
. 21st: AFC Wimbledon
Forecasted finish: 21st - Predicted points: 40 (-26 GD) - Chances of relegation: 62% Photo: Alex Davidson
. 20th: Gillingham
Forecasted finish: 20th - Predicted points: 42 (-33 GD) - Chances of relegation: 32% Photo: James Chance
. 19th: Fleetwood Town
Forecasted finish: 19th - Predicted points: 44 (-18 GD) - Chances of relegation: 18% Photo: Lewis Storey
1. 24th: Crewe Alexandra
Forecasted finish: 24th - Predicted points: 31 (-47 GD) - Chances of relegation: >99% Photo: James Chance
2. 23rd: Doncaster Rovers
Forecasted finish: 23rd - Predicted points: 35 (-52 GD) - Chances of relegation: 99% Photo: Julian Finney
3. 22nd: Morecambe
Forecasted finish: 22nd - Predicted points: 37 (-40 GD) - Chances of relegation: 90% Photo: Alex Davidson
4. 21st: AFC Wimbledon
Forecasted finish: 21st - Predicted points: 40 (-26 GD) - Chances of relegation: 62% Photo: Alex Davidson