Alex Neil’s side took a hard-earned point from Home Park on Easter Monday in a result that keeps both teams hopeful of a playoff place.
The top-eight all still hold promotion ambitions this season with just two automatic spots and four playoff places to fight for, there will be two clubs bitterly disappointed come the final game of the season on April 30.
Before their trip to Morecambe on that day, Sunderland host Cambridge United and Rotherham United knowing that every point is vital in their aims to finish in the top six.
But how likely is that outcome? Here is how the ‘data experts’ at FiveThirtyEight predict the 2021/22 League One table will finish and whether or not Sunderland will be in the playoff picture at the end of the campaign:
. Manager Alex Neil. Charlton Athletic FC 0-0 Sunderland AFC Efl1 05-03-22. Picture by FRANK REID
SAFC boss Alex Neil (Picture by FRANK REID) Photo: Frank Reid
. 24th: Crewe Alexandra
Crewe’s relegation to League Two was confirmed last weekend. Predicted points: 30 (-47 GD), chances of finishing 24th: 99% Photo: Pete Norton
. 23rd: Doncaster Rovers
Predicted points: 36 (-49 GD), chances of relegation: >99%, chances of finishing 23rd: 85% Photo: Nathan Stirk
. 22nd: AFC Wimbledon
Predicted points: 38 (-26 GD), chances of relegation: 95%, chances of finishing 22nd: 74% Photo: Christopher Lee
. 21st: Gillingham
Predicted points: 42 (-31 GD), chances of relegation: 58%, chances of finishing 21st: 53% Photo: Jacques Feeney
. 20th: Fleetwood Town
Predicted points: 42 (-18 GD), chances of relegation: 29%, chances of finishing 20th: 31% Photo: Pete Norton
. 19th: Morecambe
Predicted points: 43 (-30 GD), chances of relegation: 18%, chances of finishing 19th: 42% Photo: Julian Finney
. 18th: Lincoln City
Predicted points: 53 (-7 GD), chances of finishing 18th: 52% Photo: George Wood
. 17th: Shrewsbury Town
Predicted points: 53 (+1 GD), chances of finishing 17th: 39% Photo: Clive Brunskill
. 16th: Burton Albion
Predicted points: 56 (-13 GD), chances of finishing 16th: 32% Photo: Warren Little
1. 24th: Crewe Alexandra
Crewe’s relegation to League Two was confirmed last weekend. Predicted points: 30 (-47 GD), chances of finishing 24th: 99% Photo: Pete Norton
2. 23rd: Doncaster Rovers
Predicted points: 36 (-49 GD), chances of relegation: >99%, chances of finishing 23rd: 85% Photo: Nathan Stirk
3. 22nd: AFC Wimbledon
Predicted points: 38 (-26 GD), chances of relegation: 95%, chances of finishing 22nd: 74% Photo: Christopher Lee
4. 21st: Gillingham
Predicted points: 42 (-31 GD), chances of relegation: 58%, chances of finishing 21st: 53% Photo: Jacques Feeney