North East now split 50/50 on Brexit claims new opinion poll

A Sunderland MP has backed a People's Vote on Brexit after a new poll revealed the North East is now an exact 50/50 even split about whether to leave or stay in the EU.
Houghton and Sunderland South. MP Bridget Phillipson. Picture by FRANK REIDHoughton and Sunderland South. MP Bridget Phillipson. Picture by FRANK REID
Houghton and Sunderland South. MP Bridget Phillipson. Picture by FRANK REID

Despite the region voting overwhelmingly for Brexit in 2016 by a 16-point margin, polling by YouGov for the People’s Vote campaign, suggests that it opinion is now split on the issue.

Today’s poll comes as the People’s Vote campaign publishes a detailed impact study on how Brexit would affect the North East.

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It claims the region is expected to lose 10% of GDP over the next decade under a “no deal” scenario, meaning every man, woman and child in the North East would be £3,000 a year worse off.

Publication today of the poll of almost 1,000 adults across the North East shows strong support in the region for a People’s Vote on any final Brexit deal which is now favoured by a margin of 40 to 35%.

But if talks break down, or there is no agreement on a Brexit deal, 54% would back the public being given the final say against just 22 per cent who say MPs should the take the decision.

The disappearance of the Leave campaign’s 16-point margin of victory appears to have been driven by younger voters with those aged under 50 dividing two-to-one for staying in the European Union while voters over 50 are still two-to-one in favour of Brexit.

Other key findings from the poll include:

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*A total of 84 per cent of voters in the North East think “the process of leaving the EU so far has been a mess”.

*Almost three-quarters - 72%- say “it’s likely that many of the promises made by politicians in favour of leaving the EU will be broken”.

*Only 13% of voters in the region expect the Britain to get a good deal in the Brexit talks with the EU. Even Conservatives in the region are doubtful, with just 27% expecting a good deal.

*Almost two-thirds of people in the North-East, 64%, think a bad deal would be mainly the fault of the British government.

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*By almost two-to-one, 41%-22%, voters in the region expect Brexit to be bad for the economy.

Following the publication of the poll, Houghton and Sunderland South MP Bridget Phillipson says she thinks a People’s Vote is “only right”.

She said: “I know that many people across Sunderland voted to Leave the European Union in June 2016.

“They wanted a better deal for our community and greater hope for the future.

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“But I also know that a growing number of voters are increasingly concerned about the potential impact of leaving the EU – particularly if we crash out on destructive terms which hit the pockets of everyone across the North East for years to come, with a majority of the public now supporting a People’s Vote in such circumstances.

“With the reality and costs of Brexit becoming clearer by the day, I believe it is only right that voters are given a final say on the terms of any deal.

“This is not about opposing the will of the people – but rather, ensuring that people in the North East continue to have a say on our country’s future.”